Avalanche Advisory Archive Pre-2016

Date Issued:2016-01-14
Danger:2
Trend:4
Probability:4
Size:2
Problem:3
Discussion:

The National Weather Service Forecasts-

Today- Patchy fog early in the morning. Rain showers. Highs 31 to 38. East wind 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest late in the afternoon.

Tonight- Scattered rain showers. Lows around 33. Southeast wind 10 mph in the evening becoming light and variable.

Friday- Partly cloudy. Isolated rain showers in the morning. Highs around 38. East wind 10 mph...except near downtown juneau and douglas...northeast wind 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph by the late afternoon.

Temperatures have fallen below freezing from mid mountain elevation and above bringing new snow to the region once again. The Mt Roberts tram is showing 3cm new snow for about 13mm of precipitation. Quite wet and heavy that should bond fairly well. The Eaglecr st gauge at mid mountain is showing closer to 18mm of precip with 16mm of new snow much closer to the 10% density average we are used to. Upper elevations may have even a little more snow.

The Juneau forecast calls for another .5\" of rain in next 12 hours and tapering off after that. With moderate precipitation amounts accompanied with moderate winds look to see avalanche danger building throughout the day. Avalanche Danger is Moderate. Human triggered avalanches are possible especially in wind loaded areas near summit and ridge line at upper elevations. Natural avalanches are possible but not highly likely. .

As tonight comes with cooler temps and decreased precip rates danger levels will start to fall.

Tip:

Check out the American Avalanche Association for lots of great information at Avalanche.org