Avalanche Advisory Archive Pre-2016
Date Issued: | 2012-02-04 |
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Danger: | 2 |
Trend: | 2 |
Probability: | 2 |
Size: | 2 |
Problem: | 0 |
Discussion: | The National Weather Service Forecasts- TODAY...DECREASING CLOUDS. SCATTERED SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. HIGHS AROUND 38. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING IN THE EVENING. LOWS 25 TO 31...COLDEST IN WIND SHELTERED AREAS. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SUNDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOCALLY WINDY. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 34. NORTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH NEAR INTERIOR PASSES...DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS. Temperatures yesterday at tram summit elevation fell to below freezing for the first time in several days. They remained just below freezing from 1pm to midnight. This is a good thing as it started to freeze the loose wet snowpack back in place. Even more so at higher elevations. Temperatures have risen slightly since that time to barely above freezing now and should stay nearly the same through most of the day. Tonight they will fall once again helping to add to the stability once again. The lower mountain regions remain quite wet and above freezing. Precipitation rates have fallen a great deal over the last 24 hours. The airport is only showing .19\" in the last 24 hours and no significant precip over the last 12 hours. Winds have also fallen to single digits in the last few hours as well. Todays forecast calls for steady temperatures, light winds, and very little precip. Although there are still areas of concern both at very high elevations that may not have seen above freezing temperatures and very low elevations where the snowpack is still above freezing, in general avalanche danger is MODERATE and falling. Natural avalanches unlikely, potentially destructive avalanches unlikely to come near or reach developed areas. Human triggered avalanches may still be possible in places. The snowpack has settled greatly over the last 3-4 days and this too adds greatly to long term stability once the snowpack cools back off. Enjoy a pleasant day and the break from the heavy rains and winds! |
Tip: | I will be hosting a free avalanche awareness course with companion rescue and some field training next Saturday Feb. 11th from 9-4pm at the Eaglecrest Ski Area. There is still limited space available. To register please email [email protected] Thank you and have a great day! |