Avalanche Advisory Archive Pre-2016

Date Issued:2011-04-04
Danger:2
Trend:4
Probability:2
Size:2
Problem:0
Discussion:

The National Weather Service Forecasts-

TODAY...RAIN SHOWERS...MIXING WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SNOW LEVEL INCREASING TO 1400 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS AROUND 43. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 MPH.

TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE. LOWS AROUND 32.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 MPH LATE.

TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH
SNOW IN THE MORNING. HIGHS AROUND 46. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 MPH.

We have received well over 15\" of snow up high in the last 5 days.

The snow came in as rain and slowly cooled over a few days. The bonding to the old snow surface appears to be strong.

We have seen a fair amount of winds from the SSE loading our NNW faces and cross loading gullies up high in the start zones.

Temperatures are forecast to remain cool today but will be increasing as much as an additional 4 degrees tomorrow. This will start to add increased stress to the snowpack.

Todays avalanche danger is moderate with .37\" of additional precip in the forecast in the next 24 hours.

If we get many sunbreaks expect danger levels to rise to considerable as trees, rocks, and steep open faces would then shed themselves of the last few days snows. This could start point release or small slab avalanches. Yet the forecast is for conditions to remain cloudy.

Be cautious if you choose to head into the backcountry conditions vary greatly do to elevation and aspect. There is quite a bit more snow up high in our region than in our forecast area.

Tip:

Safety First,

And Second...

and Third...

Live to play another day!