Avalanche Advisory Archive 2016 – 2018

Date Issued:2017-02-03 06:27:18
Danger:2
Primary Trend:3
Primary Probability:3
Primary Likelihood:2
Discussion:

The National Weather Service Forecasts-

Today- Mostly clear. Windy. Highs around 33. North wind 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 45 mph.

Tonight- Clear. Lows 17 to 30. Northeast wind 10 to 20 mph.

Saturday- Sunny. Highs around 28. Northeast wind 15 to 25 mph.

Last week was quite wet around the region with very warm temperatures. We had rain and above freezing temperatures to near summit at times. The lower elevation snowpack became quite moisture saturated. The uppermost elevations saw some new snow with very high moisture densities. This new snow came in during a period of VERY HIGH winds. This left weak windslabs in places around our region at upper elevations.

We have not received any precipitation since Sunday morning at 4am. This has given the snowpack time to settle and bond well. The temperatures cooled off a great deal around the region as well... Locking this slurpee back into a block of ice.

Temperatures remain cold this morning. Mt Roberts is showing 22f and Eaglecrest is 24f at the bottom and 20f on top. Winds were strong yesterday around the region out of the north. This morning winds have slowed a bit but are still more than enough for continued windloading. Eaglecrest is showing 15 gusting 20 and the tram is slightly less.

The forecast calls for no precipitation and continued windloading during a warming period over the next 24 hours.

With previous windslabs in place and continued windloading today avalanche danger remains MODERATE> Both natural and human triggered avalanches are not highly likely... but remain quite possible.

Be aware as well this dust on crust, or shallow snowpack on top of a very hard slab could create slide for life conditions if you are swept in the wrong place. Be careful to your exposure in the terrain.

Tip:

Greetings- There is a FREE training event tomorrow up the Dan Moeller Basin. This will be about terrain management and decision making as well as Avalanche Companion Rescue. Meet at the gathering tree at 930am or swing by anytime on your ride to quickly test your skills. We will be there from 9:30-3pm. Hope to see you swing by.

For more info call Tom 907-209-9207

Forecaster:Tom Mattice