Avalanche Advisory Archive Pre-2016

Date Issued:2016-03-09
Danger:1
Trend:3
Probability:2
Size:1
Problem:3
Discussion:

The National Weather Service Forecasts-

TODAY...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED WITH SNOW EARLY IN THE
MORNING. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. SNOW LEVEL RISING TO 1100 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 44. EAST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING.

TONIGHT...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED WITH SNOW LATE.
PATCHY FOG LATE. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. SNOW LEVEL 900 FEET IN THE EVENING...LOWERING TO SEA LEVEL LATE. LOWS 30 TO 34...COLDEST WITHIN MENDENHALL VALLEY. EAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHS
AROUND 43. EAST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR DOWNTOWN
JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS.

Temperatures remain close to freezing in our local mountains. The Mt Roberts Tram saw a high yesterday of 37f and is currently at 34. Eaglecrest topped out at 36f at mid mountain before going back to a 29f low. Currently its 34f at the base, 33f at mid mountain and 29f on top.

We saw just a trace of precipitation in the last 24 hours. The tram picked up .5mm of precip and no snow. Eaglecrest received 1.5mm of precip and 1cm of new snow from mid mountain up.

We don't have much new snow on the ground from the last few days. Really only about 2-3\" over the last week.

We have seen considerable winds in the last two days with plenty of winds in the 20's and 30's out of the SE. Currently winds are SE5-15 gusting 20 at Eaglecrest and SE5-20 gusting 25mph at the tram summit.

This has created some shallow wind slabs in isolated locations. These may be sensitive to triggers but are not likely to be very large.

If we see much sun and warming we could see some wet loose avalanches off of steep open faces, trees and rocks dropping snow can often trigger these small events. Forecast does not call for much sun but if we do see direct sunlight danger will increase in those areas.

Be continuously aware of areas of glide and remember they are to be avoided.

Danger is LOW today even though human triggers and natural avalanches may be possible in isolated locations.

Tip:

Here is a great short video explaining the Avalanche Danger Rating. It was put together by the National Avalanche Center and the Forest Service.

http://www.fsavalanche.org/danger-scale