The National Weather Service Forecasts-

TODAY...RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 41. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

TONIGHT...RAIN. SNOW LEVEL 1300 FEET LATE. LOWS AROUND 35.
SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

FRIDAY...SNOW AND RAIN. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

Since noon on the Monday we have received about 65cm of new snow at the Mt Roberts Tram Summit.

The first 24 hours brought about 30cm (1') of new snow. Then we saw rain to those elevations and quite a bit of settlement.

Yesterday around noon temperatures dropped just enough for the snow to start accumulating at the Tram Summit once again. In the last 18 hours we received about 38cm of new snow(15\"+). This came from 40mm of precip.(1.6\"). Our 3 day Tram Total for precip is over 90mm (3.6\") and continuing on that 1+\" per day average.

Eaglecrest is showing slightly less but still has over 10\" of new snow in the last 18 hours at the UAS Weather Station.

Winds have been moderate to considerable throughout the storm. We have seen 20-30 knot winds along the channel as where the Eaglecrest gauge has been showing higher winds with averages from 25-40knots. Once again mostly out of our traditional SSE Loading direction. Watch for loading on N NW facing slopes.

With 1.28\" of precip in the forecast for the next 24 hours, 2.05\" of precip in the forecast for the next 48 hours and warming temperatures avalanche danger will remain HIGH.

Potentially destructive natural avalanches likely to come near or reach developed areas, natural and human triggered avalanches likely.

This recent storm is placing a lot of stress on the snowpack in place. Yesterdays mitigation results along Thane Road showed us the lower weak layers are staying innitially strong. But as we continue to add stress over the next 48 hours we have multiple layers of concern that may become reactive.

Here is a link to an interesting article from Ron Simenhois the Lead Avalanche Forecaster at the Couer Alaska, Kensington Mine.

http://juneauempire.com/outdoors/2012-02-17/different-avalanche-types-present-their-own-challenges