The National Weather Service Forecasts-

TODAY...BECOMING BREEZY...SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION 2 TO 4 INCHES. HIGHS AROUND 28. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. WINDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE EVENING. LOWS 8 TO 18. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS.

TUESDAY...SUNNY...LOCALLY WINDY. LOCAL AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
HIGHS AROUND 21. EAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS. OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WIND TO 15 MPH. WIND CHILL TO 25 BELOW.

TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOCALLY WINDY. LOCAL AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW. LOWS 6 TO 16. EAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS...GUSTS
DIMINISHING TO 35 MPH LATE. OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WIND TO 15 MPH. WIND CHILL TO 25 BELOW.

We have received fairly consistant snows since 2/8. Since 2/8 we have received 70 cm of new snows including settlement.

In the last 24 hours we received 15cm of new snow.

Temperatures have fallen by 8c in the last 4 days and continue to fall.

Wind loading was minimal during the last part of the storm and considerable during the beginning.

Winds have now switched direction and picked up. These winds are directly loading faces on Mt Juneau and Mt Roberts raising current avalanche danger.

This wind switch has already caused natural avalanches along Thane road at Snowslide Creek and Cross Bay. Both small slides. This shows us the potential for additional slides along adjacent paths exists and danger continues to build with these direct loading winds and loose snows available for transport.

Last week during the first part of the storm we had a fair amount of natural avalanche activity. Thane Road slid at snowslide creek. The White Path Slid. Several other paths slid.

Yet many have not and the weakness at the weak layer is still present.

There is the possibility of new slabs having developed in the last few days. There is still a weak layer under our 70cm slab as well.

Triggers will be fairly easy on the newer surface layers.

The greater concern for today is the reactivity of the deeper layers of instability. If we see a small surface slide it could create enough energy to propagate down to the old weak layer in place.

Or even the new weight load on a layer that has only moderately settled out may be enough to make that layer reactive once again.

Today is a day to know your area, and what slid during our last weeks avalanche cycye.

Without that knowledge of what slid previously you could be playing in an area that has far greater potential should it release.

Slide sizes are starting to grow to a level of concern especially if we see the deeper weak layers release.

Please limit your exposure to avalanche prone areas and use caution and good practices for travel in avalanche terrain.

Remember, TRANSCEIVER, PROBE, SHOVEL, and a partner or two trained and equally prepared. Dont head out into the BC without them.

A quick link to some great info

http://avalanche.org/tutorial/tutorial.html