Date Issued:2012-01-09
Danger:1
Trend:3
Probability:1
Size:1
Problem:0
Discussion:

The National Weather Service Forecasts-

TODAY...SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW
ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. TEMPERATURES AROUND 33 IN MORNING REMAINING STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING THROUGH THE DAY. WEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 22. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 MPH.

TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 34. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 MPH.

Temperatures have fallen to by 5C degrees to well below freezing once again in the last 6 hours.

We received 40mm of precipitation in the last 48 hours. 30 of which came in the first 24 hours. Overall during that time we lost about 12cm of snow at the Mt Roberts Tram Summit. The UAS gauge at Eaglecrest showed 35cm of new snow at the beginning of the cycle but is now only showing a net gain of 15cm. Summit totals may be a bit higher but due to heavy winds and scouring not much accumulation overall in our upper mountain areas.

In general during this time of considerable precipitation we had quite a bit of settlement and consolidation adding strength to the snowpack.

The snowpack was quite moist due to the precip and warm temps now as temperatures continue to fall the snowpack is freezing solid in place.

With almost no new snow in the forecast, continually falling temperatures and light to moderate winds with not much snow available for transport, avalanche danger is LOW at this time and should remain low for the next 24-48 hours.

Be aware at lower mountain elevations the surface of the snowpack is frozen but the lower snowpack is still quite moist and will take a little additional time to freeze completely.

Tip:

The tip for today- when skiing a line through avalanche terrain remember LCES.

Post a LOOKOUT!

Maintain COMMUNICATION!

Identify your ESCAPE ROUTE!

and remember your areas of SAFETY!

Also remember the basics- TRANSCEIVER, PROBE, AND SHOVEL.

DONT LEAVE HOME WITHOUT THEM!