Avalanche Advisory Archive Pre-2016

Date Issued:2016-03-07
Danger:1
Trend:3
Probability:2
Size:1
Problem:9
Discussion:

The National Weather Service Forecasts-

TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF
TAKU INLET. HIGHS AROUND 47. EAST WIND 10 MPH. NEAR DOWNTOWN
JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS...NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING IN
THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY LATE. SNOW LEVEL 1200 FEET. LOWS AROUND 36. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND
44. EAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

Mt Roberts is currently 34f after a high of 38f yesterday.

Eaglecrest reached 39f at Mid Mountain yesterday. Currently its 34f at the base. 32f at mid mountain and 29f on top.

We have not received any significant precipitation in the last week.

Daily temperatures have been rising above freezing on the mountain and overnight lows have been back to below zero. This helps build a strong snowpack.

Avalanche danger is LOW to moderate at this time. Natural and Human triggered avalanches both not likely to occur yet with the warm temps natural avalanches are possible on lower elevation steep unsupported unanchored slopes.

Glide remains an issue and I have seen several glide avalanches in the last week.

Todays very warm temps also may lead to some instability on steep unsupported unanchored slopes.

Should we see any activity it would be expected to be later in the day. If we see much sun this could increase instability but is not in the forecast.

Precipitation volumes are forecast to be low as well.

Have a great day.

Tip:

Here is a link to a great article about where we perform snot pit tests.

http://static1.squarespace.com/static/53fbfe1ce4b04ce86372f366/t/54287163e4b06b86fdabf37d/1411936611793/14_ISSW_BirkelandBairChabot_CT_SlopeAng.pdf