TODAY...AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS DIMINISHING THROUGH THE DAY. SNOW LEVEL 1000 FEET IN THE MORNING. HIGHS AROUND 44. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 MPH.

TONIGHT...DECREASING CLOUDS. LOWS AROUND 31. NORTHEAST WIND 10 MPH...EXCEPT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS.

FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 46. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

Yesterday at the Tram weather station we saw about 1.1 cm of snowfall. The winds were a little gusty with a good portion of the day seeing winds over 20 kts out of the Southeast. The temperature hung right around 0 degrees C.

It looks like things are going to dry out here for us today and tomorrow so I am bumping the trend down a little bit. With some stable weather our snowpack should start to become fairly cohesive. Field work yesterday showed a lot of moist and wet snow above the Tram as well as a lot of variability as to how the snow was laid in over each slope.

Remember, when it is sunny and warm throughout the day the likelihood of a wet avalanche increases. If you need to travel on on under avalanche paths think about going earlier in the day rather than later. This is not a backcountry forecast. Make sure to do your own tests when out recreating.

Diurnal Temperature Change

For loose wet avalanches to occur we either need rain or warming. Temperatures above 50 F are a sign to pay attention to. This radiational warming can penetrate deep into the snowpack and potentially cause a large avalanche. If the snowpack then cools in the evening the resulting bonds will become stronger. The more nights that are cool after the warm days, the stronger the snowpack becomes.