The National Weather Service Forecasts-

TODAY...RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON

TONIGHT...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS LATE. LOWS 30 TO 36. SOUTH WIND 10 MPH.

THURSDAY...NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW ACCUMULATION 1 TO 2 INCHES. HIGHS AROUND 34. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 23 TO 29. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 MPH.

Temps went up yesterday afternoon after which time we have seen very little in the way of new snow.

We have received 15mm of precip at the Mt Roberts Tram Summit since yesterday afternoon this settled the snowpack about 10cm(4\").

As we go through todays warm spell with considerable precip volumes avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE. Natural avalanches are possible due to poor bonds in the snowpack and increasing load.

Human triggered avalanches may also be possible in areas that received new snow and wind load over the last week.

We may have already had some of the activity occur. Be cautious as long as temps remain above freezing and precip rates stay high danger will exist.

As we go into tonight and tomorrow temps are forecast to cool off. Precip rates are forecast to slow. This should allow the snowpack to start to build strength once again.

Please avoid the Flume and Perseverance Trail today. Please also do not walk in the gated areas above the Berhands Neighborhood.

Happy 2014 everyone. Lets make it a safe one.

As 2014 begins I want to say a special thanks to the residents of the City and Borough of Juneau...

Quite often we feel unlike a small town. We are fortunate to have excellent services and business providing for us unlike many true small towns. We are just big enough that you don't recognize every face walking down the street...

Yet to me in so many ways we are still a small town... and not just a small town.. but like so many other small towns... we're all family...

This is the beginning of my 6th season in the Juneau areas providing the daily avalanche forecast for you. It has been an honor and a privilege to be welcomed into the family with such open arms... I cannot thank each and every one of you enough.

Our Juneau family is amazing with everyone caring for one another and looking out for one another. Everyone wears so many different hats... It is an honor and a privilege to have worked with so many organizations full of such caring people...

Here today I want to say a special thanks to the people involved in our local outdoor community... from the recreation groups to the rescue teams we are a very active community.

I feel so fortunate to not have had any avalanche fatalities in our region since my arrival. This has nothing to do with me or forecasting and everything to do with you... Your good habits, decision making skills, route choices, timing choices, the trained mountain partners you pick, the classes you take, have all added to our local \"Culture of Safety\" as we charge the outdoor life vigorously searching out adventure.

Please keep this \"Culture of Safety\" in mind as we head into 2014... Look out for your friends, your partners, your neighbors, and your Juneau Family!

Thank you for all you do Juneau and lets make 2014 the best year yet!

Special Thanks and Happy New Year,
Tom Mattice